Based on current market analysis, we anticipate Bitcoin's price to continue trending higher over the mid-term (next 2-4 months). However, price movements may ..
From the archive (9 Jul 2010)
Money or Currency: Why it Matters
For most of us, the terms "money" and "currency" are interchangeable. And in day-to-day life, that's perfectly fine. But understanding the difference between the two is becoming increasingly important, especially as Bitcoin gains traction. This isn’t just semantics; it has huge implications for how we think about finance, policy, and the future of money.
The Unwinding
The current state of the global economy is a complex and intriguing topic. Here are a few key points to consider:
The US dollar has been the world reserve currency since the end of World War II
The US has been running a persistent trade deficit, importing goods and services from other countries in exchange for dollars
Countries like China have been running large trade surpluses, but have been investing their profits in US assets rather than their own economy
The global monetary system is facing a crisis, with many experts predicting a significant shift in the way money is valued and traded
Bitcoin Pizza Day - 22 May ($1 Billion) - Update
Rational Active Allocation - Update (Apr 2025)
In summary:
• Bitcoin's market is volatile, with typical price swings around 5% influenced by sentiment and economic factors.
• Weekend trading is thinner, affecting price movements due to lower liquidity among investors.
• Blackrock's Bitcoin purchases help stabilize the market, attracting more stable ETF buyers.
• Regulatory improvements and potential ETF approvals may legitimize Bitcoin, reducing risks for institutional investors.
• Current market conditions suggest it may be a good time to invest in Bitcoin amid ongoing fluctuations.
Thoughts on Mindset and Learning
Rational Active Allocation - Update (Feb 2025)
From the archive (21 Feb 2010)
Auditing Reserves
I am writing to connect with you and discuss a thought-provoking comparison that has recently caught my attention.
The comparison revolves around the gold reserves held in Fort Knox (or any nation state for that matter), with growing concerns over the apparent absence of recent audits, as opposed to the unique transparency offered by Bitcoin.
