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Rational Active Allocation - Update (Feb 2025)
From the archive (21 Feb 2010)
Auditing Reserves
I am writing to connect with you and discuss a thought-provoking comparison that has recently caught my attention.
The comparison revolves around the gold reserves held in Fort Knox (or any nation state for that matter), with growing concerns over the apparent absence of recent audits, as opposed to the unique transparency offered by Bitcoin.
Rational Active Allocation - Update (Jan 2025)
After the “Trump inauguration euphoria” the market has entered into range bound mode.
We are still targeting higher for $BTC and assessing the best opportunity to enter.
From the archive (8 Nov 2008)
Rational Active Allocation - Update (Oct 2024)
I hope this message finds you well and you are all enjoying Bitcoin’s current rally. As of now, Bitcoin is valued at ~$67500. Over the past week, it has seen a significant increase in value, which may be of interest to those who hold it and other crypto assets.
If you are wondering why the other crypto assets are also not on the rise too, its worth highlighting the Bitcoin dominance indicator.
Rational Active Allocation - Update (Sep 2024)
Earlier in September we highlighted the importance of liquidity and the impacts it has on the Bitcoin price. If you missed it, you can catch up on the charts and blog Liquidity is everything!
The Federal Reserve has started cutting rates again to help lower borrowing costs. This could impact the stock market - the S&P 500 tends to go down by about 4% in the first six months after the first rate cut if we're in a recession, but can go up by about 14% (on average) if we're not.
Liquidity is everything!
I recently saw a chart that really struck home. We will get to this, but it’s worth looking at an interesting trend that has emerged in the world post-Covid.
It seems that now, it's all about the supply of money rather than the cost. This shift has significant implications for both opportunities and risks in the market.
